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Iranian legislative election, 2012

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Iranian legislative election, 2012

Iranian legislative election, 2012

2 March and 4 May 2012
All 290 seats to the Islamic Consultative Assembly
146 seats are needed for a majority
Turnout 66.4%

Results:

  Conservatives win   Reformists win


Speaker before election

Ali Larijani
ISE

Elected Speaker

Ali Larijani
ISE

This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Iran

The parliamentary election for the 9th Islamic Consultative Assembly, or Majlis, were held in Iran on Friday, 2 March 2012 with a second round on 4 May 2012 in those 65 districts where no candidate received 25% or more of the votes cast. More than 5,000 candidates registered but more than a third were disqualified[1] by the Guardian Council leaving about 3,400 candidates to run for the 290 seat representing the 31 provinces.

The election has been described by journalists and analysts "as a contest between" Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad,[1] with Khamenei supporters winning a large majority of seats.[2] Iranian officials and state media have described the election as a sign of Iranians' trust in the Islamic Republic and a message to the West rejecting pressure over Iran's nuclear program.[2][3] Although no final election turnout figures were released,[3] state media emphasized that voter turnout was high.[3]

The parliament has "no direct control over key foreign and security policy matters" but some influence over those policies and coming elections.[3] In the wake of the crushing of reformist protest against the 2009 election results, few if any reformist candidates were allowed by the Guardian Council to run.[4] The new parliament was opened on 27 May 2012.

Background

After two consecutive wins in 2004 and 2008, the governing conservatives are hoping to secure yet another majority in the parliament.

Events since the 2008 election

The 2008 election saw a majority win for the conservatives and supporters of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad but in the last years of the parliament, It was a despite with the president and the parliament, major in the budget approval. The parliament elected Ali Larijani, a former opponent of Ahmadinejad in the 2005 presidential election as the chairman. The first disagreement with the government was the vote of no confidence and dismissal of then Interior Minister, Ali Kordan, just three months after the opening of the new parliament. The presidential election was held in June 2009 in which Ahmadinejad was re-elected as the president. This was very despite with the results. Opposition repudiated the result and claimed that there was fraud in the election. The inauguration ceremony, held in parliament on 5 August, 2009, was not attended by more than 60 of the 290 members of Parliament. Parliament also rejected three of the introduced ministers of Ahmadinejad's second cabinet.

Electoral system

The registration of candidates was handled by the Interior Ministry and candidates are vetted by the Guardian Council.[4]

Since 2007, Iran has been divided into 207 electoral districts. These districts are roughly based on geography, but shaped according to the number of voters so that each district holds roughly the same number of registered voters. 202 districts are Muslim majority and 5 districts belong to the recognized religious minorities. Therefore, these districts do not correspond to the borders of top administrative divisions within Iran and each district contains one or more or parts of several provinces of Iran. The legal term of the parliament is four years. The elections must be held before the dissolution of the parliament. The new members must be sworn three months after their elections in the first day of opening of the parliament. The speaker and deputy speakers are elected in the opening day. In the time of war and military occupation, after the proposal of the president and approval of the ¾ of the members of the parliament and approval of the Guardian Council, elections can be postponed in the occupied areas or the entire country for a certain period.

If in a district, no one can earn ¼ of the votes, a second round election will be held after four weeks. If an elected MP dies, resigns or leaves office for other reasons, Ministry of the Interior must hold the election in her/his districts in less than seven months. None of the candidates can nominate herself/himself in more than one district. If so, her/his candidacy will be canceled and they will be disenfranchised. Voting must be an official holiday.[5]

Qualifications

According to Iran's law, in order to qualify as a candidate one must:

  • Be an Iranian citizen
  • Have a Master's degree (unless being an incumbent)
  • Be a supporter of the Islamic Republic, pledging loyalty to constitution
  • Be a practicing Muslim (unless running to represent one of the religious minorities in Iran)
  • Not have a "notorious reputation"
  • Be in good health, between the ages of 30 and 75.

Candidate will be disqualified if he/she is found to be mentally impaired, actively supporting the Shariat law.

Campaign

The chief of the Council of Guardians, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, has said that reformists he labeled as traitors "need not participate." Former president Mohammad Khatami demanded that political prisoners be freed and that former presidential candidates Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mahdi Karroubi be released from house arrest as a precondition for his movements participation. Since his call went unheeded Ali Mohammad Gharibani, head of the Reformist Front Coordination Council, said: "Despite efforts...to create an appropriate election climate, unfortunately more restrictions have been imposed. Therefore, the council has decided that it won’t issue any election list and won’t support anyone."[4] The electoral campaign was started on 23 February and ended on 1 March. 48,288,799 million Iranian voters are eligible to cast their ballots.[6] Over 5,400 had registered to contest the 290 parliamentary seats. More than 47,000 polling stations will operate nationwide during the elections. Some 3.9 million people will cast their votes for the first time. According to Iran’s Interior Ministry, the election process will be managed by some 850,000 observers in 47,000 polling stations and 1,000 constituencies across the country.

The ministry's elections headquarters will use an electronic system to oversee the entire electoral process. The system is expected to expedite elections procedures and enable the ministry to monitor the whole event more accurately.[7]

Registration and vetting of candidates

The registration ran from 24–30 January 2012. 5,405 people applied at the Interior Ministry to stand as candidates. These included 490 women. 1,006 applied in Tehran. North Khorasan Province had the smallest number with 39 people.[8] The number of applications was down from the 2008 parliamentary elections when 7,597 applied. According to Aljazeera commentators, the number of rejections—including 33 sitting members of parliament[9]—can be attributed primarily to stricter educational requirements, and the narrowing of what is considered politically acceptable by the Guardian Council.[10]

Beginning with the 2012 elections, candidates have to have at least a Master's degree to stand for elections, not just a Bachelors as in earlier elections. In addition candidate hopefuls may have been disqualified for affiliation with leftist organisations, the reformist camp, or even President Ahmadinejad.[10]

Political parties and coalitions

According to Neil MacFarquhar of the New York Times, "there are no real political parties in Iran, only murky, shifting alliances of political figures,[2]" but according to Al Jazeera, the vote is a contest between the United Front of Principalists, who support Supreme Leader Khamenei, and the Resistance Front, which backs Ahmadinejad.[1]

Conservative Alliance

  • United Front of Conservatives (UFC): The coalition was officially formed on 12 January 2008 for the 2008 elections and was re-formed on 6 January 2012 and is led by Ali Larijani, current chairman of the parliament.
  • People's Voice (PV): The front formed by a group of conservatives led by Mohsen Rezaee, a former military person and 2009 presidential candidate.
  • Insight and Islamic Awakening Front (IIAF): The front led by second deputy speaker of the parliament, Shahab od-Din Sadr.

Reformist Alliance

  • Moderate Reformists (MR): A group of pro-government Reformists, led by Ali Motahari.

Opinion polls

Incantations of the candidates of the United Front of Conservatives
Party November 2011 December 2011 January 2012 February 2012 March 2012
UFC 39.9% 42.1% 43.5% 41.9% 39.2%
FIS 30.1% 31.5% 32.9% 33.2% 28.5%
DCR 12.6% 13.4% 13.5% 14.1% 14.8%
LC 5.1% 4.9% 3.2% 4.2% 2.9%
PV 2.1% 0.3% 1.4% 3.1% 9.2%
MJP 5.3% 5.5% 4.1% 1.9% 1.1%
MR 1.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
IIAF 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Independents 3.9 2% 2% 3.1% 1.9%
Source: http://ipe9.com/majles90/

Results

Analysis

Percentage of the Votes received by elected MPs
The government hopes that the high turnout it claims will give it a boost. According to a statement issued on the Web site of the Foreign Ministry, by turning out in droves, Iranians
“especially in this sensitive historical era, have shown that, despite all of the conspiracies, pressures, and sanctions, and the bleak portrait painted by the media of global arrogance, they will continue defending independence and the national interest.”[2]

However, a foreign journalist, (Laura Secor), found a polling station in Tehran (Hosseiniyeh Ershad) where she had always seen long lines of voters in previous elections, nearly empty this year.[11]

Majid Zavari, a Tehran-based political analyst, said the economy and the persistent unemployment would be pivotal issues in the election: "From one end, Iranian society is facing high unemployment, particularly among educated youth who, despite university degrees, do not have decent living standards. This has increased discontent amongst people," Zavari told Al Jazeera.

According to analyst, Maryam Khatibi, "reformists are nowhere to be seen," in the election campaign. Nasser Karimi and Brian Murphy of the Associated Press see the election as divided between pro-Ahmadinejad conservatives and pro-Ali Khamenei conservatives.

Liberals, reformists and youth groups that led the protests are virtually absent from the parliamentary ballots after relentless crackdowns and arrests. Conservatives – now left without a unifying foe – have splintered into various factions either backing or rejecting Ahmadinejad for daring to challenge Khamenei and the ruling clerics.[12]

However, Mohammad Khatami — former president of the Islamic Republic and the "spiritual leader of the reformist movement" — who had urged Iranians not to vote, did end up voting March 2.[13]

The victory by pro-Khamenei candidates can drastically reshape the domestic political landscape in Iran. Ahmadinejad will be much weaker as a result of the election.

References

  1. ^ a b c Iran elections clouded by doubts 02 Mar 2012
  2. ^ a b c d Elections in Iran Favor Ayatollah’s Allies, Dealing Blow to President and His Office By NEIL MacFARQUHAR| 4 March 2012
  3. ^ a b c d Iran Elections 2012: Ahmadinejad Routed By Rivals By ALI AKBAR DAREINI 05/05/12]
  4. ^ a b c Iran starts registering candidates for March parliamentary elections; reformists stay out By Associated Press, 24 December 2011
  5. ^ Electoral law of the Consultative Assembly
  6. ^ 48 mil voters for 2012 election
  7. ^ Iran kicks off 9th parliamentary elections
  8. ^ Number of the candidates for parliamentary election
  9. ^ Iran election draws conservatives: 'God, please accept this vote from me' By Scott Peterson / csmonitor.com / 2 March 2012
  10. ^ a b What it takes to run for Iran's parliament
  11. ^ Letter from Tehran| Election, Monitored newyorker.com by Laura Secor May 7, 2012
  12. ^ Iran Elections 2012: Everything You Need To Know On Upcoming Parliamentary Vote, 1 March 2012
  13. ^ Dispatch | Tehranis Talk of the Elections' Stakes and Khatami's Shock Ballot by ALI CHENAR| 04 Mar 2012

External links

  • Iran Profile Election guide
  • Iranian Journalists under Pressure: Arrest or Exile Qantara.de
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