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United States Senate election in Indiana, 2010

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2010

November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Dan Coats Brad Ellsworth Rebecca Sink-Burris
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 952,116 697,775 94,330
Percentage 54.6% 40.0% 5.4%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Evan Bayh
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dan Coats[1]
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections to fill Indiana's class III United States Senate seat. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh decided in February 2010 to retire instead of seeking a third term shortly after former U. S. Senator Dan Coats announced his candidacy for Bayh's contested seat.[2] No Democratic candidate submitted enough signatures by the deadline to run, leading Democratic officials to choose U.S. Congressman Brad Ellsworth to be the nominee. The Libertarian Party nominated YMCA instructor Rebecca Sink-Burris, who had previously ran against Evan Bayh in the United States Senate election in Indiana, 1998 but with less success than in this election. Republican nominee and former U.S. Senator Dan Coats won the open seat.

Contents

  • Democratic nomination 1
  • Republican primary 2
    • Candidates 2.1
    • Debates 2.2
    • Endorsements 2.3
      • Coats 2.3.1
      • Hostettler 2.3.2
      • Stutzman 2.3.3
    • Polling 2.4
    • Results 2.5
  • General election 3
    • Candidates 3.1
    • Campaign 3.2
    • Debates 3.3
    • Predictions 3.4
    • Polling 3.5
    • Fundraising 3.6
    • Results 3.7
  • See also 4
  • References 5
  • External links 6

Democratic nomination

Senate candidates in Indiana were required to have submitted 500 signatures from each of the state's nine congressional districts by February 16, 2010, one day after Bayh announced his retirement. Democrat leaders thought the popular incumbent would run for reelection, and as a result, no Democrat candidate had submitted the requisite signatures by the deadline to run in the state's primary, meaning that the Indiana Democratic Party's executive committee chose the party's nominee.[3] U.S. congressman Brad Ellsworth was officially selected on May 15.[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Debates

  • 1. March 6 [6]
  • 2. April 8 (on the WXNT radio station)
  • 3. April 10[7]
  • 4. April 19 (at Franklin College, on radio station WFCI)[8]
  • 5. April 20 (televised on WFYI)[9]

Endorsements

Coats

Hostettler

Stutzman

Polling

Poll Source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
Error
Dan
Coats
John
Hostettler
Marlin
Stutzman
Other Undecided
Survey USA (report) April 29, 2010 407 ± 5.0% 36% 24% 18% 10% 13%

Results

Republican Primary results[26]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Coats 217,225 39.5%
Republican Marlin Stutzman 160,981 29.2%
Republican John Hostettler 124,494 22.6%
Republican Don Bates, Jr. 24,664 4.5%
Republican Richard Behney 23,005 4.2%
Totals 550,369 100%

General election

Candidates

  • Brad Ellsworth (D), U.S. Congressman
  • Dan Coats (R), former U.S. Senator
  • Rebecca Sink-Burris (L), teacher and small business owner

Campaign

After Coats’ win in the Republican primary, Ellsworth began to heavily criticized Coats for his ties to lobbyists. He called for more disclosure of the meetings lawmakers have with lobbyists, banning congressional staff from lobbying for six years after their congressional jobs, requiring Congress members to put all their investments in blind trusts, more disclosure of Senate candidates’ personal financial information, and changes to the U.S. Senate filibuster rules. He proposed lowering number of votes required to break a filibuster to 55 from the current 60.[27] In response to Ellsworth's charges, Coats published his lobbying record in an 815 page document.[28]

Coats emphasized the individual issues rather than ethic reforms advocated by his opponent. He focused on Ellsworth record of voting in support of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, cap-and-trade legislation, and health care bill. Coats opinion of the healthcare law is that “the only responsible solution ... is to repeal the Obama-Pelosi-Ellsworth health spending bill and quickly replace it with cost-effective, incremental pieces that will decrease costs, increase coverage and not break the bank.”[29]

Debates

The three candidates took part in three televised debates. [30]

  • Monday, October 11, in Indianapolis
  • Friday, October 22, in Fort Wayne
  • Monday, October 25, in Vincennes

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Safe R[31] October 30, 2010
Rothenberg Lean R[32] October 28, 2010
Swing State Project Likely R
RealClearPolitics Likely R[33] October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R[34] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Solid R[35] October 30, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Coats (R)
Brad
Ellsworth (D)
Other Unde
cided
Rasmussen Reports October 30-November 1, 2010 1,600 ± 3.0% 60% 39% 4% 3%
Indiana Times October 29, 2010 1,600 ± 3.0% 60% 32% 4% 3%
SurveyUSA October 21–25, 2010 1,600 ± 3.0% 54% 32% 7% 3%
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA October 19–21, 2010 500 ± 4.4% 53% 35% 5% 7%
Rasmussen Reports October 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 52% 34% 5% 9%
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA September 29-Oct. 1, 2010 500 ± 4.4% 51% 33% 5% 11%
Rasmussen Reports September 14–15, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 34% 8% 9%
Rasmussen Reports August 4–7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 29% 7% 14%
The Polling Company July 31-August 3, 2010 502 ± 4.2% 50% 35% 14%
The Polling Company July 11–15, 2010 502 ± 4.2% 51% 25% 14%
Rasmussen Reports July 7–8, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 51% 30% 6% 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 2–3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 33% 7% 14%
Rasmussen Reports May 5–6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 51% 36% 6% 8%
SurveyUSA April 22–26, 2010 407 ± 5.0% 47% 31% 22%
Rasmussen Reports April 13–14, 2010 500 ± 3.5% 54% 33% 5% 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 17–18, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 34% 6% 12%
Research 2000 February 22–24, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 37% 36% 27%
Rasmussen Reports February 16–17, 2010 500 ± 3.5% 46% 32% 7% 15%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Dan Coats (R) $4,408,537 $3,384,413 $1,024,123 $185,500
Brad Ellsworth (D) $2,256,505 $2,369,943 $119,329 $22,726
Rebecca Sink-Burris (L) $7,331 $2,175 $5,351 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[36]

Results

General election results[37]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Dan Coats 952,116 54.60% +17.37%
Democratic Brad Ellsworth 697,775 40.01% -21.64%
Libertarian Rebecca Sink-Burris 94,330 5.39% +4.27%
Majority 254,341 14.58%
Total votes 1,743,921 100%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

See also

References

  1. ^ "Dan Coats Defeats Brad Ellsworth In Indiana Senate Race". Huffington Post. November 2, 2010. 
  2. ^ Fritze, John (February 15, 2010). "Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh Drops Out".  
  3. ^ Miller, Sean J. (February 16, 2010). "Republicans furious about timing of Bayh’s retirement announcement".  
  4. ^ "Dems make Ellsworth official pick to face Coats". Associated Press. May 15, 2010. 
  5. ^ "Former Sen. Coats to Challenge Sen. Bayh". Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved 2010-02-02. 
  6. ^ Olsen, Eric. "GOP Senate candidates Square Off in Warsaw | RELATED LINK » Indiana News Center". indiananewscenter.com. Retrieved 2014-06-09. 
  7. ^ Report, Staff. "GOP Senate candidates to debate in Evansville | RELATED LINK » Evansville Courier & Press". Courierpress.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  8. ^ InsideINdianaBusiness.com Report (2010-03-30). "Franklin College to Host GOP Senate Candidates - Newsroom - Inside INdiana Business with Gerry Dick". Insideindianabusiness.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  9. ^ Langhorne, Thomas B. "Debate commission locks in Indiana Senate contenders | LINK » Evansville Courier & Press". Courierpress.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  10. ^ Giroux, Greg (2010-03-11). "Kyl Maxes Out To Coats - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  11. ^ "Rep. Pence statement on Sen. Coats". Wane.com. 2010-02-03. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  12. ^ Heflin, Jay (2010-06-10). "Chris Dickson". Chrisdickson.blogspot.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  13. ^ "GOP rivals take aim at Coats' Senate record". CNN. Retrieved May 27, 2010. 
  14. ^ Giroux, Greg (2010-04-19). "Indiana: Dobson For Coats, Keene For Stutzman - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  15. ^ "Coats tops field | The Journal Gazette | Fort Wayne, IN". The Journal Gazette. 2010-04-18. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  16. ^ By W. James Antle, III on 4.16.10 @ 3:46PM (2010-04-16). "The American Spectator : AmSpecBlog : Ron Paul Endorses John Hostettler in IN Senate Race". Spectator.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  17. ^ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  18. ^ "Home". Team America PAC. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  19. ^ "Home". Team America PAC. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  20. ^ "2010 RLC Endorsements — Indiana | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  21. ^ "Dan Coats, Gun Control and the Indiana Senate Primary". Gunowners.org. 2010-02-11. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  22. ^ "Fox Exclusive: DeMint Backs Stutzman « Liveshots". Liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com. 2010-04-20. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  23. ^ "Candidate - Mark E. Souder". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  24. ^ "Candidate - David C. Long". Our Campaigns. 2010-05-04. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  25. ^ "Marlin Stutzman Gets Big Endorsement". RedState. 2010-02-21. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  26. ^ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  27. ^ "Brad Ellsworth | Ellsworth for Indiana U.S. Senate Campaign | News". Ellsworthforindiana2010.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  28. ^ Dan Coats for Indiana
  29. ^ "Dan Coats for Indiana". Coatsforindiana.com. 2010-06-16. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  30. ^ "Schedule for U.S. Senate debates". Indiana Debate Commission. Retrieved October 10, 2010. 
  31. ^ "Senate".  
  32. ^ "Senate Ratings".  
  33. ^ "Battle for the Senate".  
  34. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings".  
  35. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate".  
  36. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Indiana". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010. 
  37. ^ Secretary of State : Elections Division: Election Foundation Wide

External links

Debates
  • Indiana Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPAN, April 20, 2010
Official candidate sites
  • Dan Coats for Senate
  • Brad Ellsworth for Senate
  • Rebecca Sink-Burris for Senate
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