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Verification of the Bolam Weather Prediction Model Over the Area of Cyprus : Volume 23, Issue 23 (04/10/2010)

By Savvidou, K.

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Book Id: WPLBN0003998915
Format Type: PDF Article :
File Size: Pages 8
Reproduction Date: 2015

Title: Verification of the Bolam Weather Prediction Model Over the Area of Cyprus : Volume 23, Issue 23 (04/10/2010)  
Author: Savvidou, K.
Volume: Vol. 23, Issue 23
Language: English
Subject: Science, Advances, Geosciences
Collections: Periodicals: Journal and Magazine Collection, Copernicus GmbH
Publication Date:
Publisher: Copernicus Gmbh, Göttingen, Germany
Member Page: Copernicus Publications


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Lagouvardos, K., Kotroni, V., Michaelides, S., Constantinides, P., & Savvidou, K. (2010). Verification of the Bolam Weather Prediction Model Over the Area of Cyprus : Volume 23, Issue 23 (04/10/2010). Retrieved from

Description: Meteorological Service, Nicosia, Cyprus. The purpose of this study is the verification of the BOLAM weather prediction model over the area of Cyprus. The verification period spans from 1 January 2007 till 31 December 2007 and the parameters studied are: temperature, wind and precipitation. The model forecasts are compared to the observations recorded at three locations on the island, where Automatic Weather Observing Systems are operated by the Meteorological Service of Cyprus, namely, those of Larnaka and Paphos Airports and at Athalassa. The statistical analysis includes calculation of the mean error, the mean absolute error and the standard deviation. Based on the construction of a contingency table, the probability of detection of a precipitation event and the false alarm rate are calculated. Finally, an example of BOLAM forecasts for a case study of a low pressure affecting Cyprus during winter is presented and discussed.

Verification of the BOLAM weather prediction model over the area of Cyprus

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